The tour’s 2016-24 projected average corn yield of 188.8 bushels per acre (bpa) compares with Agricorp’s average over the same period of 185.7 bpa and Stats Canada at 166.9. On the soybean side, the tour’s 2019-23 projected average yield is 50.8 bpa vs. Agricorp at 50.3 and Stats Canada’s 2019-23 average yield of 49.2 bpa. The tour’s estimates continue to be more in line with Agricorp’s final insured acres and yields than that of Stats Canada.

According to the 2024 9th Annual Great Ontario Yield Tour, the provincial yield on corn was projected at 194.75 bpa, (Stats Canada, tend to underestimate the Ontario corn yield at 178.7 bpa), and the soybean yield was projected at 54.12 bpa (Stats Canada at 51.1 bpa). There was plenty of moisture last year above the 30-year normal and some ion Southwestern Ontario experienced to much rain into the month of June but a prefect finish for most delivered records crops in Ontario in 2024!

Ontario Crop Statistics

	2,265,500 acres Corn acres in 2025, +5% vs. 2024   178.7 bu/acre Corn yield in 2024, +7.8 bu/acre vs. 2023
	2,876,400 acres Soybean acres in 2025, -8% vs. 2024   51.1 bu/acre Soybean yield in 2024, -0.3 bu/acre vs. 2023
	1,243,400 acres Wheat acres in 2025, +14% vs. 2024   91.9 bu/acre  Wheat yield in 2024, -3.8 bu/acre vs. 2023

According to the Canadian Drought Monitor (as of end-April 2025), The Central Region experienced cooler temperatures in April, and parts of southern Ontario, and the Gaspé region temperatures were slightly above normal. Much of Ontario received over 115% of average April precipitation, except in northwestern Ontario where less than 60% of normal precipitation was received.

In Southern Ontario, Abnormally Dry (D0) and Moderate Drought (D1) areas were removed due to above-normal precipitation and snowmelt raising river levels. Drier conditions in northwestern Ontario have also led to an expansion of Abnormally Dry (D0) in that area. In contrast, the area around Thunder Bay, areas east of Lake Superior, and much of central Ontario received over 150% of normal precipitation, leading to the removal of Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions. Drought in the St. Lawrence and Gaspé regions Québec improved due to significant moisture over the past three months. Pockets of Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions remained northeast of Montreal, around Sherbrooke and west of Québec City.

At the end of the month, 18% of the Central Region was classified as Abnormally Dry (D0) or in Moderate Drought (D1), including 5% of the region's agricultural landscape.

Environment and Climate Change Canada's (ECCC) 4 to 6-month outlook for June, July and August is currently estimating an 85 per cent probability for above-average temperatures in Toronto (82 in Ottawa and 65 in Thunder Bay), with precipitation levels currently shaping up to be about average during that period.